The experiment
One edge · two brokers
Alpaca
Paper · US equities · PDT-capped
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account equity
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today
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realized
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win · n
Pepperstone cTrader
Demo · index CFDs · unthrottled
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account balance
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open
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realized
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win · n
Out-of-sample proof
Forward test
genuine OOS from 2026-06-16
Alpaca tape
Round-trip trades the bot placed on the paper account.
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cTrader tape
Index-CFD trades on the Pepperstone demo.
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Latest killzone
Signals
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Research · backtestsEdge evidence & lab
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Research · backtests
Edge evidence & lab
Forward backtest · trained only on prior years
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Validated analytics
Backtest lab · on-demand
In-sample — the model has seen this data. The honest read is the forward test above + PBO-deflated ~1.6 Sharpe.
Equity ($ · 1% · 4×)
Drawdown
Silver Bullet · meta-labeled · 2R + ATR-trail · ~1.6 Sharpe (PBO-audited) · live proof pending